Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65760d62f4ee495e10630af618460bbd7bacec3f2b109031977a7e45afc72a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 33,446$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 14,117$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.89 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 3,820$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.08 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 18c | 2,063$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 1,719$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 18c | 919.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 906.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 741.05$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 12c | 566$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 544.8$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…8c9ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 377$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 14c | 338.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…a1cbbacked Yes | 30c | 337.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 299.36$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 282.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 76c | 279.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 240.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 210.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 24c | 209.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 204.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 79c | 201.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 24c | 191.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 179.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 159.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 19c | 148.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 18c | 141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 22c | 122.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…71a2backed Yes | 20c | 100.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…f3f7backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…c8c9backed Yes | 30c | 93.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 24c | 82.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 76c | 62.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…bd85backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 37.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 30.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?this page
- Algeria to score first vs. Austria?No won
- Austria to score first vs. Algeria?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.