Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to score first vs. Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc706c194daa9fe3b40bb75bcace59c75cf5634ef36cb4f201462b3ff8ee4f54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,745$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 41c | 1,541$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.63 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 1,518$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,403$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 1,085$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 544.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 40c | 371$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 295.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 40c | 262.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 40c | 262.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 204.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 61c | 182.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 42c | 167.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 126.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 57c | 116.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 51.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 37c | 41.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 65c | 40.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 57c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 26.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 79c | 24.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to score first vs. Austria?this page
- Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
- Austria to score first vs. Algeria?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.