Fifa International · resolved market
Austria to score first vs. Algeria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb670a7f9e74f37ac1c3320fcf9bceee7010c0c6a54d086af76eae42e8cfab43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 1,347$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,283$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.74 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 40c | 968.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 59c | 961.02$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 40c | 702.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.63 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 544.8$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 12c | 407.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…061bbacked Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 12c | 328.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 295.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 10c | 280.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…423abacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 238.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 60c | 204.75$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 58c | 182.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 8c | 163.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 151.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 109$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 10c | 105.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 83.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 53c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 62.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…e6babacked Yes | 43c | 37.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 55c | 33.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 29.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 59c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…88bfbacked Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria to score first vs. Algeria?this page
- Algeria to score first vs. Austria?No won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.