NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4dfea4153b10b234fba1915e3dfc1110cc44df469d0b5d31f269247f503747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Suns, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Suns | 11c | 37,660$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Suns | 14c | 35,274$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.57 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Suns | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Suns | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Suns | 2c | 4,821$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 14c | 3,681$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.27 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns | 14c | 3,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.05 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Suns | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…ea97backed Suns | 12c | 2,318$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Suns | 11c | 1,900$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Suns | 12c | 1,800$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 1c | 1,603$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Suns | 11c | 1,141$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Suns | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Suns | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Suns | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Suns | 11c | 623.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 20c | 506.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Suns | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Suns | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Suns | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Suns | 3c | 458$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Suns | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 80c | 394.12$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 8c | 377.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Suns | 11c | 369$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Suns | 18c | 304.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Suns | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Suns | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 13c | 286.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 11c | 265.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Suns | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Kings | 79c | 245$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Suns | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Suns | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Suns | 15c | 168$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 8c | 147.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Suns | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…bc71backed Kings | 79c | 126.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Suns | 13c | 119.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Suns | 17c | 117.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Suns | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Suns | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Suns | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…b03cbacked Suns | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Suns | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Suns | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Suns | 17c | 91.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Suns | 14c | 82.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Suns | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…6adabacked Kings | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.