NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41baae279101ca124e9cdaccccca71430aa05110c0657304e5c5b47a5fb64023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Jazz, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8845…ae48backed Jazz | 5c | 31,782$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jazz | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 6c | 14,986$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz | 5c | 10,799$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.43 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…275cbacked Jazz | 0c | 5,624$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jazz | 3c | 5,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 4c | 3,585$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Jazz | 10c | 3,032$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 5c | 2,635$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Jazz | 6c | 2,354$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 0c | 2,330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 1c | 2,250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Jazz | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz | 2c | 1,917$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed Jazz | 8c | 1,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Jazz | 4c | 1,258$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Jazz | 3c | 1,216$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz | 2c | 1,175$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz | 4c | 1,010$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Jazz | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz | 4c | 995$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Jazz | 9c | 972.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Jazz | 10c | 701.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 6c | 623.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 4c | 549.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 2c | 519.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Jazz | 5c | 500.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Jazz | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Jazz | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 64.2%111 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 6c | 468.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Jazz | 10c | 464.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Jazz | 3c | 455$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Jazz | 4c | 422.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Jazz | 10c | 412.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Jazz | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Jazz | 4c | 323.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Jazz | 4c | 316.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Jazz | 5c | 305$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…8ce2backed Jazz | 10c | 299.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Jazz | 4c | 293.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Jazz | 14c | 270$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Jazz | 10c | 243.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5307…6014backed Jazz | 5c | 216.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea09…06fcbacked Jazz | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…c48bbacked Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9a…684bbacked Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.