NBA · resolved market
Will Tyrese Haliburton score 23+ points against the Knicks?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ce5c2408a7fe4d0fb8be71baaf82a4fb089af5a23f81c0baf181656d0e984d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 2,022$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.67 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…fb77backed No | 65c | 780$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…2daabacked Yes | 35c | 565$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…2449backed Yes | 35c | 435$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes | 45c | 254.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 56c | 199.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked No | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 55c | 180.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 53c | 94.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…aad5backed No | 62c | 70.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…5adabacked Yes | 42c | 47.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…02ffbacked No | 65c | 37.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 54c | 32.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 49c | 31.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…45e9backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.