MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7167b3d1bbb4faa68507d311f26e0fc496143f0b75c6a76effbc09fe7de3add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Reds | 53c | 120,470$63,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,848.95 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 47c | 82,967$38,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,972.66 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 47c | 14,679$6,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,779.87 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 47c | 10,209$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.8 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Reds | 54c | 10,055$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.63 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 69c | 7,004$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 47c | 4,691$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 47c | 4,320$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 3c | 3,558$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 46c | 3,256$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.4 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 48c | 3,173$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.14 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 54c | 3,103$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.66 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 46c | 2,802$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.69 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 46c | 2,375$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 2c | 2,255$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Marlins | 47c | 2,041$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.82 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Reds | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Reds | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 7c | 978.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 52c | 938.9$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.84 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 1c | 919.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Marlins | 46c | 870.18$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 2c | 832.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 49c | 794.61$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 2c | 716.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Marlins | 37c | 715.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.24 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Reds | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Reds | 25c | 421.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Marlins | 75c | 388.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 4c | 379$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 66c | 362.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 52c | 319.18$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 35c | 315.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 64c | 310$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 47c | 301.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 57c | 269.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Marlins | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Reds | 54c | 238.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Reds | 6c | 225.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 47c | 201$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Reds | 17c | 191.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marlins | 65c | 165.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Marlins | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e3acbacked Reds | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…d17fbacked Marlins | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…b4f8backed Reds | 8c | 135.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…548abacked Marlins | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4728backed Reds | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Marlins | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Marlins | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Marlins | 47c | 110.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4c03backed Reds | 25c | 105.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 24c | 104.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marlins | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Marlins | 36c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Reds | 42c | 75.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Reds | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Marlins | 46c | 68.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…b8c3backed Marlins | 53c | 67.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Marlins | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 47c | 60.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Reds | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Marlins | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Reds | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Reds | 47c | 52.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Marlins | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Reds | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Reds | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 54c | 47.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 32c | 44.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Marlins | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.