Olympics · resolved market
France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede22d3002aba4da2c6f81af2c539bc18351160e8d5711bf7a3b662a59f2bb81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 59,272$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…f3c0backed Yes | 0c | 30,890$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…f234backed Yes | 0c | 28,736$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 0c | 26,091$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…e8f9backed Yes | 1c | 24,581$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 23,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…1586backed Yes | 0c | 19,809$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d334backed Yes | 0c | 19,610$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 0c | 18,717$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…f9eebacked Yes | 0c | 18,145$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…d756backed Yes | 0c | 15,106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…4c94backed Yes | 0c | 14,924$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 1c | 12,369$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…1a4ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,227$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 1c | 7,972$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376b…8a13backed Yes | 1c | 7,735$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 7,265$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…748cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b01…5c7fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,981$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…ae55backed Yes | 0c | 6,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…50c7backed Yes | 0c | 6,657$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…df64backed Yes | 1c | 6,368$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bd17backed Yes | 0c | 6,068$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…dfeabacked Yes | 0c | 5,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…0664backed Yes | 0c | 5,012$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…7ad0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…52dfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,931$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…2f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,255$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1e81backed Yes | 1c | 4,104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,463$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…ddf9backed Yes | 1c | 3,028$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…b703backed Yes | 1c | 2,838$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa878…27bebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…625abacked Yes | 1c | 2,046$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…3cd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,936$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,830$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…ebf3backed Yes | 1c | 1,580$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…7e2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…cd16backed Yes | 1c | 954.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?this page
- Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.