NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f165820f41a24f8d5782913e850f7617bcc57399da2dbe2456907d72b172852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 14,602$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 9,773$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 7,485$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 6,829$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,199$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 2,290$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,590$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…335cbacked No | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…c31abacked No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…7189backed Yes | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…d478backed Yes | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…1bb0backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…9c20backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…e99bbacked No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…ae5ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 16c | 740.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 44c | 565.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 15c | 403$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 26c | 330$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked No | 75c | 254.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 18c | 227.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 64c | 225.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…3ad2backed Yes | 38c | 217.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 18c | 214.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 163.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…1252backed Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…6191backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…3d38backed Yes | 21c | 123.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…3ed6backed No | 66c | 108.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…a664backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 28c | 100.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 25c | 100.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…669abacked No | 66c | 93.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…a619backed No | 76c | 86.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…c9cdbacked Yes | 22c | 84.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…f26fbacked No | 66c | 84.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…67febacked Yes | 25c | 76.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…6617backed Yes | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…d06cbacked Yes | 40c | 61.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…dbfabacked Yes | 25c | 56.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…fddabacked Yes | 22c | 55.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 24c | 55.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 34c | 53.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342a…13cdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…9363backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…e44ebacked No | 77c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…2edebacked No | 75c | 50.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 49.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…b017backed Yes | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa367…d1c9backed No | 78c | 45.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…6094backed No | 76c | 44.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ff…a502backed Yes | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…850ebacked No | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…b07dbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa3…62cabacked No | 78c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…81ffbacked No | 76c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…cfc4backed No | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…264dbacked No | 78c | 30.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…67ccbacked No | 78c | 27.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…e361backed Yes | 55c | 27.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…15fabacked No | 56c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 60c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef2abacked Yes | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…8316backed No | 56c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…aa4abacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…5e61backed No | 78c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…9aaebacked No | 78c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…36dbbacked No | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…4c31backed No | 78c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…62d2backed No | 78c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…0c47backed No | 78c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.