NBA · resolved market
Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38362ec5204996ceeb44b566c57c213bc57f3c5cb62d90facd83d13fde800609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 34,971$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 1c | 26,287$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +370.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 21,694$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,138$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 0c | 6,001$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 27c | 4,074$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.7 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…61c8backed Yes | 0c | 3,011$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 2,593$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.12 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…ebffbacked Yes | 14c | 966.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 809.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…6599backed Yes | 31c | 701.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Yes | 31c | 644.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…dd55backed Yes | 31c | 602.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 15c | 587.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…6bdbbacked Yes | 28c | 523$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked Yes | 19c | 500.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…39e6backed Yes | 33c | 453.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 74c | 441$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…7bbabacked Yes | 28c | 424.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 404.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 34c | 398.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d98…27debacked Yes | 31c | 319.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…744cbacked No | 79c | 302$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0035…ed77backed Yes | 31c | 300.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 22c | 292.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…2ed0backed Yes | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045e…baa1backed Yes | 32c | 282.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 33c | 281$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 258.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…8c50backed Yes | 21c | 233$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…855cbacked Yes | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 214.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…caa1backed Yes | 21c | 206$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…8775backed Yes | 26c | 198.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 22c | 186.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 12c | 176.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…c31bbacked Yes | 26c | 151.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…b1ecbacked Yes | 21c | 151$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…ccabbacked No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…b225backed No | 79c | 151$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 28c | 149.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…47a3backed No | 79c | 146$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…8b10backed Yes | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…1327backed Yes | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…f35dbacked No | 79c | 141$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…b992backed Yes | 17c | 139.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…abf3backed Yes | 28c | 138.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 137.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…1f8dbacked No | 79c | 132$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…7a90backed No | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…ebefbacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…9971backed Yes | 29c | 128.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…f28fbacked No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…fc1dbacked No | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…6505backed Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…b94abacked Yes | 25c | 122.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…8397backed No | 79c | 119$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…3d5dbacked Yes | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…2360backed No | 79c | 119$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…3674backed Yes | 25c | 113.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…7b05backed Yes | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…e8bdbacked No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…151fbacked No | 76c | 108.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…0e52backed Yes | 18c | 101.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…3f30backed Yes | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…0f87backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…5c8abacked Yes | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…bd20backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed8…ac7dbacked Yes | 25c | 100.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…9793backed Yes | 25c | 96.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…446fbacked Yes | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7b…abe4backed Yes | 27c | 92.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 20c | 91.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 22c | 91.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8856…3950backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 80c | 84.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…d55dbacked Yes | 28c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…0e77backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…384cbacked Yes | 31c | 82.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…1c23backed No | 76c | 81.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…cf75backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…b95bbacked No | 74c | 79.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…f81ebacked Yes | 27c | 79.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…7afebacked Yes | 22c | 78.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…6c1bbacked Yes | 38c | 75.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…10b2backed Yes | 36c | 74.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…58d8backed Yes | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…b814backed Yes | 22c | 73.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…57f2backed Yes | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…421dbacked Yes | 23c | 70.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…67ccbacked Yes | 26c | 70.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…852bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c60ebacked No | 79c | 67.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…8613backed Yes | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…5a9bbacked Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…d800backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…0435backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5d…f94abacked No | 74c | 64.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb3…1c46backed Yes | 30c | 64.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…e4abbacked Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.