NBA · resolved market
Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7f974ec013caa69da9d3cb7e78abe7bd5e70b0f54bb59e36f92f75011fb5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,229,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,229,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 28,096$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 27,600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,807$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 0c | 11,340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…9363backed Yes | 1c | 5,871$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cd…bacebacked Yes | 3c | 2,368$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 59c | 2,250$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,020$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…6ac7backed Yes | 3c | 2,006$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9c08backed Yes | 3c | 1,993$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…1a17backed Yes | 3c | 1,993$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…83e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,825$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,667$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…0b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,603$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…ac99backed Yes | 3c | 1,588$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…46d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,575$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…33e6backed Yes | 4c | 1,463$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 63c | 1,384$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…dd0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,280$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…cc15backed Yes | 4c | 1,254$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…f56cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,254$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…89efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…6ea8backed Yes | 3c | 1,185$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…4466backed Yes | 4c | 1,144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…0747backed Yes | 3c | 1,144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…6507backed Yes | 4c | 1,071$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…94f3backed Yes | 4c | 1,045$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…ae6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,045$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…9c9bbacked Yes | 4c | 961$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…0923backed Yes | 4c | 935$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 878.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…4b33backed Yes | 4c | 836$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8880…5514backed Yes | 4c | 825$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…dcefbacked Yes | 3c | 795$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…0e4dbacked Yes | 3c | 780$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…4729backed Yes | 3c | 780$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…de53backed Yes | 3c | 659$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…aae6backed Yes | 3c | 633$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…d2aabacked Yes | 4c | 627$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…b462backed Yes | 4c | 627$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 571.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…d8b2backed Yes | 4c | 528$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…c001backed Yes | 4c | 528$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…215cbacked Yes | 4c | 517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…71fbbacked Yes | 4c | 517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…35f5backed Yes | 3c | 509$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 59c | 480.35$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…5d66backed Yes | 3c | 448$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…390abacked Yes | 3c | 418$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…29f0backed Yes | 4c | 418$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…1d84backed Yes | 4c | 418$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc817…3f2cbacked Yes | 4c | 418$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 33c | 414.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…9ca2backed Yes | 3c | 413$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2998backed Yes | 3c | 394$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…dac3backed Yes | 3c | 390$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…397bbacked Yes | 3c | 390$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…a353backed Yes | 4c | 343$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes | 4c | 334$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…6926backed Yes | 4c | 319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…350bbacked Yes | 4c | 319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5406backed Yes | 4c | 319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…2f7fbacked Yes | 4c | 319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…64a7backed Yes | 4c | 319$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…66a9backed Yes | 4c | 319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…c89cbacked Yes | 4c | 319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 308.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…0727backed Yes | 4c | 308$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…73e1backed Yes | 4c | 308$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…aa80backed Yes | 4c | 308$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 66.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 51.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 32c | 36.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.