NBA · resolved market
Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce647779297a27582078c81ec00849db0cecd956312a60dc15c31625afa3364c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,065,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 17,312$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,048$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…8d8dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,618$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 3,957$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 3,626$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…7535backed Yes | 1c | 1,872$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…783bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,772$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…5160backed Yes | 1c | 1,762$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…b9c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,662$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…2630backed Yes | 1c | 1,584$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…624bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,584$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…f895backed Yes | 1c | 1,584$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…1d84backed Yes | 1c | 1,560$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…b4c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,560$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…eb06backed Yes | 1c | 1,484$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…9399backed Yes | 1c | 1,459$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…2b0bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…dfe1backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…93a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,268$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…9ca2backed Yes | 1c | 1,258$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…6926backed Yes | 1c | 1,252$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…e3b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…66a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,252$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…aa3cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,248$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…ac27backed Yes | 1c | 1,248$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…00b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,239$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e9…69b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,239$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…8dc4backed Yes | 1c | 1,208$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…1c6dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,188$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…9184backed Yes | 2c | 1,151$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…a7e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…cfe5backed Yes | 1c | 1,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3607backed Yes | 1c | 1,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…d279backed Yes | 1c | 1,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…88eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…cc46backed Yes | 1c | 1,138$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…014abacked Yes | 1c | 1,138$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…991abacked Yes | 1c | 1,120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…795cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…f0a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…0d04backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…8657backed Yes | 1c | 1,044$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…89dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,039$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…d87cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,028$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…fb3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,028$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…80fcbacked Yes | 1c | 966$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…50e0backed Yes | 1c | 946$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ef…4c0fbacked Yes | 1c | 939$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b4…d13bbacked Yes | 1c | 936$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fd6abacked Yes | 1c | 936$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…9054backed Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…dbb6backed Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…df0bbacked Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3184backed Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…ed2abacked Yes | 1c | 936$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…138abacked Yes | 1c | 848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…5dafbacked Yes | 1c | 848$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…db69backed Yes | 1c | 848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…a2f9backed Yes | 1c | 848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…dcefbacked Yes | 2c | 838$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…29f2backed Yes | 1c | 838$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…90e3backed Yes | 1c | 838$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…29f0backed Yes | 2c | 837$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…ed7bbacked Yes | 2c | 837$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…c835backed Yes | 1c | 836.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…b2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 835.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…a4f7backed Yes | 1c | 826.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…54cebacked Yes | 1c | 808$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…82f9backed Yes | 1c | 802$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…5893backed Yes | 1c | 802$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…1d20backed Yes | 1c | 792$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…4ccfbacked Yes | 1c | 792$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…d2cfbacked Yes | 1c | 792$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…f551backed Yes | 1c | 737$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…494dbacked Yes | 1c | 725.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…2eb8backed Yes | 2c | 720$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.