NBA · resolved market
Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58440b8f3702f635b499c226ae3b8d54422737a9346f7d866e239fc33a242abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,479,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,114,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,479,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 30,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 12,515$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,577$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…66bdbacked Yes | 4c | 7,409$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…8d95backed Yes | 4c | 4,781$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…cca8backed Yes | 4c | 4,769$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…9549backed Yes | 4c | 4,249$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…7ae6backed Yes | 4c | 3,909$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…7c0bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,693$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…f65ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,482$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…e87dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,377$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…9194backed Yes | 4c | 3,143$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…25dabacked Yes | 4c | 3,143$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…9100backed Yes | 4c | 3,043$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…bdebbacked Yes | 4c | 3,037$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…37d2backed Yes | 4c | 2,926$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…3d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,821$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…8a6dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,505$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…005cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,492$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…1677backed Yes | 4c | 2,492$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…ebb4backed Yes | 4c | 2,487$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…00a7backed Yes | 4c | 2,482$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…f1cabacked Yes | 4c | 2,472$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…5d66backed Yes | 4c | 2,472$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…f325backed Yes | 4c | 2,072$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…f587backed Yes | 4c | 2,072$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…b310backed Yes | 4c | 2,066$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…8b60backed Yes | 4c | 2,060$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…89efbacked Yes | 4c | 2,060$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…0747backed Yes | 4c | 2,060$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…8f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,055$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…808cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,036$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b44…d0c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,634$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…21a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,627$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…218dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,627$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…4061backed Yes | 4c | 1,627$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…0d48backed Yes | 4c | 1,627$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…c194backed Yes | 4c | 1,332$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…f390backed Yes | 4c | 1,299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ba…ccdabacked Yes | 4c | 1,246$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…4224backed Yes | 3c | 1,236$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cd…bacebacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…7a4cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…15e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b23backed Yes | 4c | 1,188$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…cb3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…d23abacked Yes | 4c | 1,110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…5ad2backed Yes | 4c | 999$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…37ddbacked Yes | 4c | 948$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…991abacked Yes | 4c | 918$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…aa3cbacked Yes | 4c | 908$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 891.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…ac27backed Yes | 4c | 888$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…021dbacked Yes | 4c | 872$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…7173backed Yes | 4c | 864$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…4729backed Yes | 4c | 834$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…5f0fbacked Yes | 4c | 834$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…8150backed Yes | 4c | 827$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…03c3backed Yes | 3c | 824$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…51e1backed Yes | 3c | 824$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…46d2backed Yes | 4c | 824$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…1a17backed Yes | 4c | 824$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d1…b8e4backed Yes | 4c | 824$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…03b4backed Yes | 4c | 824$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…66e4backed Yes | 4c | 797$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…56f8backed Yes | 3c | 786$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…5da8backed Yes | 4c | 777$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…d8d0backed Yes | 4c | 777$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…c63fbacked Yes | 4c | 716$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3607backed Yes | 4c | 716$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…a4f7backed Yes | 4c | 706$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…54cebacked Yes | 4c | 696$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…02f5backed Yes | 4c | 696$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d9…ade2backed Yes | 4c | 696$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…a01dbacked Yes | 4c | 696$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…bab7backed Yes | 3c | 696$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…9399backed Yes | 4c | 666$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc817…3f2cbacked Yes | 4c | 666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…46b3backed Yes | 4c | 666$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…d18dbacked Yes | 3c | 655$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…d5e7backed Yes | 3c | 655$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…00b2backed Yes | 4c | 625$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…2ee1backed Yes | 4c | 595$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…a1bebacked Yes | 4c | 575$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…d87cbacked Yes | 4c | 565$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…88eebacked Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…1958backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…6bd1backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…8657backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…b4c8backed Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…587dbacked Yes | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a7…16f7backed Yes | 3c | 555$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…634bbacked Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…a29fbacked Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…16f8backed Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79e…e6b8backed Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…ab86backed Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…e5b0backed Yes | 3c | 524$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.