NBA · resolved market
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72efb48713659ed42dd898083ce64df902916678862e720ef4285be5f0f9c187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf6…a3eabacked Yes | 55c | 50,163$27,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,489.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…aed5backed No | 45c | 50,155$22,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,484.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 27,509$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 26,170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 0c | 12,939$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 20c | 3,790$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 5c | 3,425$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,421$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.39 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…1677backed Yes | 8c | 3,013$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 41c | 2,927$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.63 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…89efbacked Yes | 8c | 2,574$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…9e23backed Yes | 8c | 1,756$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…0b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,716$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,357$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…390abacked Yes | 8c | 1,317$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…2151backed Yes | 8c | 1,317$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…f721backed Yes | 8c | 1,317$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…03b4backed Yes | 8c | 1,307$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 13c | 1,294$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 51c | 984.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 10c | 981.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…1644backed Yes | 8c | 888$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…c079backed Yes | 8c | 878$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…bf5dbacked Yes | 8c | 878$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…4729backed Yes | 8c | 878$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…00a7backed Yes | 8c | 868$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 798.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 54c | 550$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ba…ccdabacked Yes | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…03c3backed Yes | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…7746backed Yes | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…e055backed Yes | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…9863backed Yes | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…6795backed No | 77c | 445.15$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…005cbacked Yes | 8c | 439$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…51e1backed Yes | 8c | 439$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…d72fbacked Yes | 8c | 439$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…f373backed Yes | 8c | 439$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…397bbacked Yes | 8c | 429$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…3c21backed No | 55c | 376$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…dc82backed Yes | 41c | 350.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 23c | 349.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 9c | 265$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 51c | 257.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 30c | 246.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…049cbacked Yes | 52c | 239.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…c2d8backed Yes | 5c | 236$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0980backed Yes | 6c | 236$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +199.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 78c | 229.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed Yes | 52c | 223.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 57c | 203.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 24c | 144.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf9…c581backed Yes | 45c | 143$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 16c | 141.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 8c | 138.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 137.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 12c | 135.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 69c | 134.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 131.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…0a4bbacked Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…413ebacked Yes | 53c | 109.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 108.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…9c2fbacked No | 54c | 104.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2990…91a9backed No | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…8dc5backed Yes | 54c | 96.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…3168backed No | 50c | 95.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 95.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…182dbacked No | 49c | 94.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…a8bcbacked No | 73c | 93.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…bc97backed Yes | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d0…a348backed Yes | 54c | 88.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…08a1backed No | 48c | 84.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…6643backed No | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed Yes | 46c | 81.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…a842backed Yes | 53c | 80.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…d625backed Yes | 55c | 77.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…7f54backed No | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…f4f3backed Yes | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…9d7ebacked No | 55c | 72.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…e7e1backed No | 49c | 71.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…77f5backed Yes | 56c | 70.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 46c | 69.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 69.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…5afbbacked No | 50c | 67.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…25e7backed Yes | 54c | 62.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35d…7918backed No | 56c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…c33bbacked No | 50c | 59.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…1bb0backed No | 49c | 58.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3760…d5afbacked Yes | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…5d39backed Yes | 55c | 56.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…7049backed No | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…cbe3backed No | 47c | 51.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…0cb9backed No | 58c | 50.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…abd9backed Yes | 54c | 46.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…9c14backed No | 47c | 45.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0c…0a02backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.