TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,357 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c19,703$40 inLost-$39.511550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes0c18,845$54 inLost-$53.915316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c11,441$38 inLost-$38.042130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c10,757$77 inLost-$76.621,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c6,265$19 inLost-$18.81978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6100…46aebacked Yes1c6,231$76 inLost-$76.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-64.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes0c6,186$12 inLost-$12.1100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf218…c4c7backed Yes7c5,760$399 inLost-$399.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e32…0086backed Yes11c3,777$421 inLost-$420.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef5…8898backed Yes1c3,570$43 inLost-$43.073852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…a0fabacked Yes14c2,898$405 inLost-$40560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a9…2c95backed Yes20c2,840$578 inLost-$57840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes22c2,402$528 inLost-$527.811414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+370.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,881$71 inLost-$71.391,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes6c1,535$85 inLost-$855653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes8c1,000$75 inLost-$75348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes30c674.26$200 inLost-$200.1617356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3379…dcf6backed Yes2c652.69$15 inLost-$1580%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7050…b4fabacked Yes3c581.96$16 inLost-$16.1450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes19c549.9$107 inLost-$106.6216844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes6c500$30 inLost-$301,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7939…03d0backed Yes7c269.17$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…320fbacked Yes14c200.25$28 inLost-$28560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed Yes18c100$18 inLost-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ac…5396backed Yes34c91.48$32 inLost-$31.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes17c70.87$12 inLost-$11.845230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x956b…ebb6backed Yes15c70$11 inLost-$10.642630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.