NBA · resolved market
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46c3f0c348f5cfbbffab2b918e590bc56a760b9bbf94fc76509927a37989f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 26,776$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,286$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,715$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…7d36backed Yes | 3c | 2,845$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…a405backed Yes | 11c | 2,368$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…8979backed Yes | 8c | 1,825$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b23backed Yes | 10c | 1,776$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…b462backed Yes | 7c | 1,736$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…e500backed Yes | 11c | 1,710$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…6507backed Yes | 7c | 1,519$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…f56cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,519$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…7c0bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,414$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…b310backed Yes | 9c | 1,414$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…1384backed Yes | 9c | 1,349$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 8c | 1,233$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…4b33backed Yes | 7c | 1,085$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,065$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…8e64backed Yes | 10c | 1,003$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…494dbacked Yes | 12c | 978$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…d8b2backed Yes | 8c | 978$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…8f4bbacked Yes | 10c | 939.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…b878backed Yes | 9c | 916.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…e000backed Yes | 10c | 880$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…0747backed Yes | 8c | 878$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…94f3backed Yes | 8c | 868$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…9100backed Yes | 6c | 822$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…ebb4backed Yes | 10c | 810.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…f587backed Yes | 8c | 773.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…4466backed Yes | 7c | 758$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…ac0abacked Yes | 7c | 707.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…aba9backed Yes | 10c | 681.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…6d37backed Yes | 8c | 681.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…1a6ebacked Yes | 10c | 658.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…59cebacked Yes | 5c | 654$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…fb3dbacked Yes | 11c | 651$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…33e6backed Yes | 7c | 648$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…a4f7backed Yes | 8c | 630.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…021dbacked Yes | 8c | 623.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…96cbbacked Yes | 10c | 619.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…5d28backed Yes | 10c | 619.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e1…9654backed Yes | 10c | 619.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cd…a5c3backed Yes | 7c | 572$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…2a03backed Yes | 9c | 544$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…c63fbacked Yes | 9c | 541$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…350bbacked Yes | 5c | 541$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…7195backed Yes | 6c | 541$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…a37fbacked Yes | 8c | 540.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…215cbacked Yes | 7c | 538$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…5dfdbacked Yes | 5c | 538$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…d87cbacked Yes | 8c | 533.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…f55abacked Yes | 8c | 469$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…820cbacked Yes | 5c | 459$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 445$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…30f9backed Yes | 10c | 444$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…2630backed Yes | 5c | 440$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…f895backed Yes | 13c | 440$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9422backed Yes | 16c | 440$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…d2cfbacked Yes | 13c | 440$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ede8backed Yes | 13c | 440$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…dafcbacked Yes | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…7aa7backed Yes | 11c | 434$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fd6abacked Yes | 7c | 434$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…d279backed Yes | 6c | 434$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…1d84backed Yes | 11c | 434$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes | 12c | 434$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…014abacked Yes | 11c | 434$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…587dbacked Yes | 6c | 434$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a725backed Yes | 5c | 431$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…64a7backed Yes | 4c | 431$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ef…4c0fbacked Yes | 5c | 431$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…50e0backed Yes | 8c | 430.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…d142backed Yes | 9c | 423.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…2ee1backed Yes | 9c | 413.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 10c | 357.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…4b15backed Yes | 8c | 333.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…00b2backed Yes | 6c | 327$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…1ddebacked Yes | 9c | 327$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…6926backed Yes | 5c | 327$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…9054backed Yes | 9c | 324$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…5f06backed Yes | 4c | 324$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…cc46backed Yes | 11c | 323.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…90e3backed Yes | 6c | 321$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…a779backed Yes | 9c | 313.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d6…f172backed Yes | 10c | 313.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd5…5c20backed Yes | 9c | 312.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…633cbacked Yes | 10c | 306.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…be27backed Yes | 10c | 306.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…a01dbacked Yes | 10c | 306.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…f390backed Yes | 9c | 296.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 10c | 290.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…c1a7backed Yes | 9c | 270.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…624bbacked Yes | 10c | 270.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8978…2b8dbacked Yes | 13c | 241.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…6d1bbacked Yes | 9c | 241.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…9194backed Yes | 10c | 241.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…1a17backed Yes | 8c | 240.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…7535backed Yes | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…5da8backed Yes | 10c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…cb3dbacked Yes | 7c | 217$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.