AI · resolved market
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5985407b96f2890c454fdd64038ed66eeccc9ffb2bb6811fb5fa4be306f776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 16c | 5,255$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 36c | 4,075$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.83 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…1e09backed Yes | 15c | 3,478$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 13c | 3,406$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…9a10backed Yes | 1c | 3,297$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 45c | 3,084$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 24c | 2,829$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 18c | 2,816$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 67c | 2,730$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,983$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed No | 68c | 1,968$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 62c | 1,671$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.34 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…f469backed Yes | 13c | 1,498$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199d…589abacked Yes | 22c | 1,340$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…2d08backed Yes | 66c | 1,327$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…321fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,074$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 31c | 938.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…9418backed Yes | 28c | 817.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0624backed Yes | 6c | 814.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 71c | 803.59$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 57c | 790.83$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 4c | 788.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 30c | 786.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 65c | 732.35$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2153…69c2backed No | 37c | 657.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…1e15backed No | 69c | 638.64$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 52c | 587.78$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…dfc8backed No | 55c | 490.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 9c | 450$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…e5eabacked Yes | 36c | 441.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…e2f8backed Yes | 33c | 390.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…1317backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 26c | 353.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…8341backed Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed No | 70c | 340.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd86…c51fbacked No | 71c | 320.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…9ab0backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…bb73backed Yes | 48c | 306$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 73c | 305.87$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed No | 61c | 305.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…64ffbacked Yes | 13c | 300.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…d09fbacked Yes | 4c | 285.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 12c | 271.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…daa1backed No | 46c | 248.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 28c | 240.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 28c | 219.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…7e01backed Yes | 18c | 212.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…5811backed Yes | 78c | 207.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…3e8ebacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 75c | 191.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked Yes | 12c | 168.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…4c12backed Yes | 72c | 164$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed Yes | 23c | 162.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…eb95backed Yes | 18c | 139.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…61cabacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…e34dbacked Yes | 19c | 117.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…d4debacked No | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…8534backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…1256backed Yes | 40c | 91.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…f701backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 72c | 71.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…18afbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 79c | 62.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 50c | 62.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 53c | 57.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…0525backed Yes | 36c | 55.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3a…1286backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 75c | 36.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…8b46backed No | 60c | 34.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 56c | 33.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…9448backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…1c60backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…955ebacked No | 49c | 22.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…ac39backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…cc14backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f4…7120backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…bd4cbacked No | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.