Ukraine · resolved market
Crimean bridge hit before 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9907587083e4011a090e3adc2e1457b102f4fdd2ce8e892d88152f75071ebcc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 14,729$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.96 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 13c | 3,005$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…490dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,243$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 15c | 2,040$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 1,377$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed Yes | 11c | 1,343$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…4de1backed Yes | 2c | 1,326$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…0616backed Yes | 10c | 1,310$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 1c | 1,161$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…9e99backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…6d59backed Yes | 15c | 999.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 5c | 969.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7064backed Yes | 18c | 964.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 4c | 943.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 12c | 821.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…8d64backed Yes | 15c | 799.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed Yes | 10c | 793.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…d860backed Yes | 19c | 786$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…835abacked Yes | 2c | 744.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…6221backed Yes | 7c | 705.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3f…2454backed Yes | 3c | 693.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 15c | 672.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…4ab0backed Yes | 16c | 620.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 9c | 607.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed25…d6c4backed Yes | 12c | 525$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…ca6abacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 15c | 488.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…7074backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…c449backed Yes | 10c | 350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 13c | 300.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed Yes | 17c | 295.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 274.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…4f09backed Yes | 9c | 264.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…1c91backed Yes | 16c | 229.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…b8f5backed Yes | 14c | 202.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…95ddbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…05acbacked Yes | 14c | 182.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…0305backed Yes | 9c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2b65backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…3894backed Yes | 17c | 146.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…e434backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…1a17backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…5f03backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…e996backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…bc6dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 17c | 114.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed Yes | 14c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…7c5fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…9791backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…e5d9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…5b13backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…80c0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…e990backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…6903backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…32f4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…310dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 17c | 96.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…cc38backed Yes | 21c | 95.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…9136backed Yes | 17c | 87.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 13c | 84.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…04d3backed Yes | 19c | 79.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…c790backed Yes | 17c | 76.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…ab13backed Yes | 14c | 72.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Yes | 17c | 68.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…adffbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…a200backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…1f3bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.