Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a21bc1beb60410e517a8c35ed74ede7fb62d6810a9a0f2e421ebdb953d07f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Down | 65c | 12,925$8,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 62c | 3,585$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Up | 30c | 3,329$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.63 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Up | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…2f93backed Up | 33c | 2,841$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 42c | 2,226$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.09 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Up | 35c | 2,000$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Up | 34c | 1,802$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Up | 10c | 1,700$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Down | 49c | 1,443$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.1 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Up | 54c | 1,152$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.82 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Up | 42c | 1,150$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Up | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Up | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…d979backed Up | 39c | 926.38$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Up | 57c | 900$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 43c | 899.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Down | 47c | 889$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Down | 46c | 807$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Up | 40c | 802.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…4d6abacked Up | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Down | 67c | 789.91$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.08 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Up | 31c | 702.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…d6c3backed Up | 51c | 509$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Up | 13c | 507.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Up | 29c | 400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Up | 37c | 356.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed Up | 40c | 355.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Up | 28c | 336.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 357 | 50.4%180 W · 177 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Down | 59c | 333.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…e2b1backed Up | 44c | 301$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Up | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Up | 54c | 290$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…55f6backed Up | 36c | 277.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Down | 54c | 260.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Up | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Up | 7c | 248.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked Up | 49c | 244.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…f8a1backed Down | 48c | 243.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Up | 41c | 230.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…2b35backed Up | 50c | 228.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4cc7backed Up | 42c | 220.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Up | 43c | 212.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b470backed Up | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a6…a1e0backed Up | 57c | 200$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Down | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…3e71backed Up | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed Down | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Down | 64c | 177.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…1048backed Down | 55c | 160.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Down | 66c | 150.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…b61ebacked Up | 34c | 149.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Down | 60c | 133.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 51c | 130.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Up | 50c | 115.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 74c | 115$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Down | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 23c | 111.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Up | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed Up | 27c | 109.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Down | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…c9afbacked Up | 33c | 105.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Up | 42c | 101.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Up | 54c | 101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Down | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…be40backed Down | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…bf7dbacked Up | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…badebacked Up | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Up | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Down | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…559abacked Up | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Up | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Up | 35c | 84.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Down | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…e55dbacked Up | 53c | 65.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Down | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…5548backed Up | 58c | 56.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…404ebacked Down | 70c | 50.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…45dfbacked Up | 56c | 46.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…5d45backed Up | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed Down | 77c | 40.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -56%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked Down | 61c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…9d07backed Up | 34c | 32.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…27b4backed Down | 56c | 31.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…c4dcbacked Down | 66c | 27.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…c63dbacked Down | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.