Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x505dd02ed950d4a6919e6042e87557d5c7e2e287db074fb6c8c767333da11af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 30c | 763.89$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.23 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed Yes | 69c | 287.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 34c | 207.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked No | 65c | 119.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 43c | 91.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…2150backed No | 59c | 60.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…5db1backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 55c | 54.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -16.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 53c | 51.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…5bb9backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…0998backed No | 75c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 54c | 21.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…9c42backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…7c35backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Comeback” or “Come Back" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Header" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.