World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2bbb6059d6b21481c7c42229aba4cb50b83eae9abebd6ea54089f8c96829d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,422 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked Yes | 48c | 2,214$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 17c | 1,479$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.42 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…fe33backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa065…f3debacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…b17fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…afbebacked Yes | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…0906backed Yes | 36c | 1,370$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…6ea5backed No | 64c | 925$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…4f73backed No | 64c | 921$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…4d5cbacked No | 64c | 916$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecca…a68dbacked No | 64c | 914$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780b…9c07backed No | 64c | 906$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…6d53backed No | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…4d24backed No | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…f1e8backed No | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 52c | 748$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed No | 52c | 714$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed No | 19c | 443.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c010backed Yes | 52c | 193.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…fb65backed No | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 33c | 143.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 53c | 137.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed No | 19c | 132.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 18c | 118.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…5df5backed No | 52c | 102.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 36c | 94.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 47c | 84.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…2e61backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 71.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 59.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 66c | 57.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 48c | 53.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 43.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4cdebacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…6361backed No | 33c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…d3eebacked Yes | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 29.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…7cb0backed Yes | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…4b5fbacked Yes | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd0…111cbacked Yes | 56c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b1ccbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…8384backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…bd2ebacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…c903backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…ecb6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Green Left win 30-34 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.