Fifa International · resolved market
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9fc0d3ce8e8f70c423655d6aa589681e7bbccef9e4d87929d1c56680309a604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 25c | 3,934$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.2 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed Yes | 69c | 1,532$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Yes | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 73c | 1,232$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.41 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 31c | 1,022$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 80c | 934.18$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 24c | 731.18$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Yes | 80c | 665.76$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Yes | 68c | 628.91$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 526.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 18c | 517.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 31c | 400.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 24c | 396.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 79c | 303$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed No | 20c | 284.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 25c | 271.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 25c | 264$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 68c | 257.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked No | 23c | 216.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 21c | 179.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…520bbacked Yes | 74c | 160.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 26c | 144.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 63c | 110.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 65c | 108.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ad…d17abacked No | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 27c | 107.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed No | 31c | 92.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 75c | 87.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 83.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…2d01backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 22c | 68.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 74c | 66.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…2e16backed Yes | 68c | 65.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…217ebacked Yes | 68c | 60.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 22c | 57.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 69c | 57.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…a4e8backed Yes | 70c | 56.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…a180backed No | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 27c | 53.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4474backed Yes | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…cd00backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 48.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 31c | 40.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…4e9ebacked No | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed Yes | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 71c | 32.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…5c82backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 78c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 68c | 17.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 69c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…79abbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?this page
- Will GIRL LIKE ME be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Waka Waka (This Time for Africa) be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.