Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569a277965f381e01b17f3ea3c814bac3650e343cd821bfb9c9c68761a2a6879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07f5…c763backed Yes | 37c | 1,925$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Yes | 72c | 565$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 23c | 463.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 58c | 419$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 39c | 355.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 37c | 321$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 63c | 271$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 50c | 245.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 198.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 64c | 178$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 168$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…4fa7backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 141.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 38c | 138.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes | 37c | 134.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 58c | 132.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked No | 58c | 114.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 43c | 101.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 63c | 81.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…b91cbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked No | 64c | 75.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…9b38backed Yes | 42c | 73.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…2276backed Yes | 42c | 72.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 72c | 72.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…a3dabacked Yes | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 49c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…c246backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 37c | 59.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 44c | 59.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 45c | 54.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 50c | 51.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 43.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…a2e3backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…c718backed No | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…6e3cbacked Yes | 39c | 37.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 29c | 36.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 62c | 30.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…0f6ebacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 47c | 24.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…5a20backed No | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…cf44backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 59c | 18.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 60c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.