Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e626e34290cd5d9d73fa8ef030ada9a9e3fe0720adcf6b2accd3f79685743a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 31c | 717.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…b15abacked No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 23c | 337.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 31c | 181.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed No | 74c | 179$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 36c | 148$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 24c | 139.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Yes | 42c | 116.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 69c | 100.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…719abacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 38c | 97.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 38c | 86.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 22c | 78.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 19c | 74.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 41c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…5a20backed No | 64c | 70.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 40c | 65.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…95d5backed Yes | 38c | 39.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 39.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…4904backed Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 72c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 62c | 22.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.