Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hung Up be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8334171b5c70e71c4138c2fc580dfd2c6ec32c58209fb3f780883710b5ad9f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c7…dc2abacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 76c | 183.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 181.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 73c | 140.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…e73dbacked No | 75c | 90.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 25c | 83.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 71.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 71.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 60.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 23c | 56.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 26c | 42.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 66c | 22.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde68…42cebacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…bad3backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…f6c9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed Yes | 66c | 18.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hung Up be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?this page
- Will 4 Minutes be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Popular be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
- Will Vogue be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.