Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bdccb520865118b69929d452299386e4779db517d1688ce57a5f0e150ac8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,198$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 63c | 919.15$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 37c | 650.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 647.06$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 514.4$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Over | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 60c | 329.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 59c | 309.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 307.03$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 304.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 59c | 285$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 266.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 37c | 235.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 39c | 190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 59c | 179.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 25c | 156.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…62f8backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Over | 12c | 97.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 72c | 93.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Under | 61c | 75.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 60c | 73.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 64.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 42c | 64.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 42c | 64.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 25c | 63.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Under | 75c | 60.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 57.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 60c | 54.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 48.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…91f5backed Under | 70c | 42.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Under | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 60c | 25.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Under | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.