Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7321a387471cb2faa1816ee2c571203ce60a41463f7454ac3ce333782bad9b16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 2,251$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.94 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 1,317$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.94 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 1,242$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 1,062$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Over | 60c | 879.45$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 514.73$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 35c | 494.23$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 64c | 486$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 385.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 293.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 288.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 204.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 193.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 189.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 187.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 181.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 172.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 159.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 51c | 151.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 35c | 134.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 53c | 133.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 127.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 39c | 118.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 107.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 106$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 69c | 103.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 63c | 100.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Under | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 58c | 79.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 72.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 55.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 32c | 47.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 45.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 43.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 51c | 42.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 51c | 42.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ea4cbacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 49c | 34.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 34c | 31.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 31.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 30.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 46c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 53c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.