NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061338833d2d6d142922d7bda22aacbc883f64fe05dc3467c4de0ee7049f51cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Heat, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 77c | 23,387$17,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.94 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Nuggets | 59c | 17,353$10,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 26c | 15,842$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.2 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Nuggets | 58c | 10,406$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 40c | 6,977$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Heat | 7c | 6,901$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 11c | 3,650$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 18c | 2,791$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.97 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 17c | 2,130$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 1,641$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Heat | 20c | 1,479$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…6b56backed Heat | 7c | 1,393$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Heat | 41c | 1,294$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,214$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.77 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Heat | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,080$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.43 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Heat | 29c | 1,058$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Heat | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Nuggets | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Heat | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 56c | 788.3$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.85 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Heat | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 12c | 553.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Nuggets | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Heat | 41c | 432.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 6c | 417.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…cd61backed Heat | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…3228backed Heat | 36c | 281.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Nuggets | 56c | 278$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Nuggets | 60c | 263$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…c008backed Heat | 20c | 254.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…cde2backed Nuggets | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…8510backed Heat | 6c | 242.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…fed2backed Heat | 13c | 238.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…4fc0backed Heat | 41c | 232.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Heat | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Heat | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 36c | 189.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Nuggets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 60c | 169.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…bfb2backed Nuggets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…ac22backed Nuggets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…bebdbacked Nuggets | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Heat | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Nuggets | 66c | 149.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Nuggets | 61c | 148.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Heat | 13c | 134.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Nuggets | 77c | 130.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 37c | 129.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Heat | 41c | 115.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed Heat | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Nuggets | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Heat | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…58e6backed Nuggets | 60c | 89.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Nuggets | 61c | 88.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…d9fabacked Nuggets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…077dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 83.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…98b5backed Nuggets | 60c | 83.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Nuggets | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Heat | 24c | 77.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Heat | 21c | 74.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…b4a9backed Heat | 40c | 70.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…6267backed Nuggets | 77c | 63.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Heat | 45c | 62.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c9…c109backed Nuggets | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Heat | 41c | 55.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…f366backed Heat | 43c | 52.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Nuggets | 58c | 52.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c48…6597backed Nuggets | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…13cebacked Nuggets | 64c | 51.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Heat | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc91…4ae1backed Heat | 38c | 48.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Nuggets | 79c | 47.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…adebbacked Nuggets | 58c | 47.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Nuggets | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…8385backed Heat | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…4f4fbacked Nuggets | 63c | 46.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Heat | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…fb7bbacked Heat | 38c | 42.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Heat | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Nuggets | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…fd32backed Nuggets | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…777ebacked Nuggets | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…5543backed Nuggets | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Nuggets | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…9760backed Heat | 39c | 38.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…633bbacked Nuggets | 64c | 37.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Heat | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Heat | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Nuggets | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Nuggets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…0e72backed Nuggets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.