Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs T1 (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94dd96edd5c28240404b9586d50148266365fcf7a0067bd8d8f1fbba111d130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Team Liquid, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 9c | 35,936$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.87 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Team Liquid | 4c | 26,836$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 5c | 19,849$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.39 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid | 10c | 8,846$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.61 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid | 12c | 8,120$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.01 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 12c | 6,628$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.36 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Team Liquid | 10c | 4,929$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 4,867$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.11 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Team Liquid | 9c | 2,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 9c | 2,457$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 9c | 2,392$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…107cbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Team Liquid | 3c | 1,885$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Team Liquid | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 1,791$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Team Liquid | 9c | 1,580$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Liquid | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 1,355$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Liquid | 15c | 1,350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Liquid | 11c | 1,203$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 5c | 1,166$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Liquid | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…6544backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…0b4bbacked Team Liquid | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Team Liquid | 3c | 999.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 8c | 797.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 784$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Liquid | 8c | 758.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team Liquid | 10c | 619.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…0fefbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 603.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Liquid | 17c | 599.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Liquid | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Team Liquid | 9c | 473.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Team Liquid | 4c | 376.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Liquid | 9c | 340.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7796backed Team Liquid | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebf…ff4abacked Team Liquid | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…eb60backed Team Liquid | 7c | 269.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 258.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Team Liquid | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Liquid | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…bdfbbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 149.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 149.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…695abacked Team Liquid | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…e2afbacked Team Liquid | 12c | 124.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…d58ebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Team Liquid | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…70dcbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Team Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Team Liquid | 13c | 84.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Team Liquid | 14c | 76.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked T1 | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.