Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780dc0bbe1470f70dd93e3ab50c6b8787903f871f95643143ce542056d34ae3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hofstra Pride | 18c | 3,068$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Syracuse Orange | 4c | 2,149$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse Orange | 62c | 1,791$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Hofstra Pride | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hofstra Pride | 61c | 762.34$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hofstra Pride | 13c | 644$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.57 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Hofstra Pride | 77c | 561.21$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Syracuse Orange | 54c | 454.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 442.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Hofstra Pride | 49c | 368.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Hofstra Pride | 27c | 342.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Hofstra Pride | 23c | 341.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 304$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Hofstra Pride | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Syracuse Orange | 53c | 249.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Syracuse Orange | 38c | 239$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hofstra Pride | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Syracuse Orange | 44c | 123.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Hofstra Pride | 54c | 110.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Hofstra Pride | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Hofstra Pride | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Syracuse Orange | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Syracuse Orange | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Syracuse Orange | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hofstra Pride | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Syracuse Orange | 39c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.