Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab80a09f350533e2d4d23f41bc76e4ca011a1106732da6e80883ac7bc7da398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Stanford Cardinal | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 5,937$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.6 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 63c | 2,680$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 2,570$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 58c | 920.45$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 41c | 868.27$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 42c | 850$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 846.31$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.85 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 836.58$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 531.23$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 31c | 509.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 19c | 469.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 59c | 351$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Stanford Cardinal | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Stanford Cardinal | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 68c | 225.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 202.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 186.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 27c | 165.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 32c | 157.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Stanford Cardinal | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…40b4backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 78.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Stanford Cardinal | 61c | 65.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 40c | 62.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 60.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Stanford Cardinal | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…8081backed Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 48.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Stanford Cardinal | 78c | 47.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 44c | 33.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stanford Cardinal | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 79c | 13.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Stanford Cardinalthis page
- Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-9.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 161.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.