Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fad3863085543b55eb878946181f58c66240a315f4f21ba7b6b4ea206fb70d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof Samford Bulldogs, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Samford Bulldogs | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Samford Bulldogs | 10c | 9,848$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.79 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Samford Bulldogs | 16c | 1,274$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Samford Bulldogs | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Samford Bulldogs | 15c | 824.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Samford Bulldogs | 20c | 341$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Samford Bulldogs | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Samford Bulldogs | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Samford Bulldogs | 14c | 195.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Samford Bulldogs | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…4f46backed Samford Bulldogs | 11c | 146.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Samford Bulldogs | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Samford Bulldogs | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Samford Bulldogs | 15c | 112.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Samford Bulldogs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 15c | 67.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked VCU Rams | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.