CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 3DMAX (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28a940b6f68fa9207689b2698f4c102325e5959fa109d5a4250565c597d4ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof FlyQuest, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed FlyQuest | 5c | 17,961$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.12 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…c33ebacked FlyQuest | 30c | 2,344$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 3DMAX | 68c | 1,930$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…53e2backed FlyQuest | 3c | 1,357$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 1,303$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.02 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 66c | 1,264$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.21 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 40c | 1,260$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed FlyQuest | 12c | 1,153$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 3DMAX | 59c | 1,045$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 7c | 990.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 816.91$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked FlyQuest | 42c | 766.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX | 55c | 764.21$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked FlyQuest | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FlyQuest | 3c | 559.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed 3DMAX | 74c | 544.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…f947backed FlyQuest | 6c | 502.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed FlyQuest | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 456.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed FlyQuest | 4c | 441.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked FlyQuest | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 396.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed 3DMAX | 52c | 376.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed 3DMAX | 70c | 331.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 254.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 77c | 249.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FlyQuest | 42c | 239.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e90…af65backed FlyQuest | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed FlyQuest | 44c | 206.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FlyQuest | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 178.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…8badbacked FlyQuest | 6c | 171.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…7578backed 3DMAX | 62c | 162.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked FlyQuest | 12c | 154.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed FlyQuest | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…59bbbacked FlyQuest | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…2650backed FlyQuest | 13c | 107.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 92.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed FlyQuest | 29c | 91.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked FlyQuest | 20c | 91.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…36e5backed 3DMAX | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…c6cabacked 3DMAX | 75c | 66.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…23febacked FlyQuest | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed 3DMAX | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked FlyQuest | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed FlyQuest | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed 3DMAX | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…22a7backed 3DMAX | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked 3DMAX | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed FlyQuest | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed 3DMAX | 68c | 43.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed 3DMAX | 61c | 40.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed 3DMAX | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FlyQuest | 42c | 35.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…61babacked 3DMAX | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…ccddbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…8dc5backed 3DMAX | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…73aabacked FlyQuest | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked 3DMAX | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.