Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f2f8296c640f356f40309f181bfef4efeb0ba2eddd3f7028eac252da5b5e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 21c | 7,966$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.36 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 77c | 2,930$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 4c | 1,350$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 1,039$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 866.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 847.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 609$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 16c | 449.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 16c | 426.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 414.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 19c | 405.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 11c | 275$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed No | 17c | 236.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 75c | 234.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 80c | 141.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 19c | 138.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 17c | 108.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed Yes | 79c | 100.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed No | 16c | 80.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 17c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 26c | 49.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Yes | 77c | 47.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.