Asian League · resolved market
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee7ad98ad8ee67f58b1a44e2e824cd41bf65228fe9d20d8c6c70d22fc1ffe1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 51c | 18,982$9,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,627.1 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 4,574$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.27 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 3,306$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.93 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 3,069$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.75 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 2,482$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 2,459$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.6 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,630$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Over | 38c | 810.74$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 773.88$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 705.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 691.29$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.49 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 50c | 604.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 49c | 592$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 590$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 65c | 533.95$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 520.68$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 494.88$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 55c | 472.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 412.56$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 383.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 48c | 357$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.1 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 347.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 51c | 339.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 254.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 40c | 199.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked Over | 51c | 116.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 35c | 76.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 49c | 64.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 64c | 36.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…e153backed Over | 52c | 27.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 52c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 70c | 20.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…1b9cbacked Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5this page
- Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)V-Varen Nagasaki won
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5)V-Varen Nagasaki won
- Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.