Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a21a6512d6f1ea04de415c3c0f062fa4cd598369b902882d013dcbb0e331d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 37c | 1,500$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,061$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.77 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 64c | 919.97$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.78 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 741.98$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.51 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 594.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 59c | 593.39$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.28 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Under | 34c | 510.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 40c | 499.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 62c | 484.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 473.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 471.86$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 347.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 317.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 288.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 288.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 66c | 251.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 225.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 63c | 141.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 59c | 125.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 53c | 70.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 65.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 63c | 50.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 46c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 45c | 33.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 64c | 24.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.