Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaba3a7dc392ff038a3e507a42b2f80dec082e4cc9697f24c63c7c49c2161620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 73c | 1,213$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 1,200$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.47 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,111$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 543.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.47 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 468.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 43c | 300.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 17c | 158.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 42.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.