Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c782fef554d1346c44b3802f2fd17073cf40d7e7780f4bf2acaf1d822fbcfdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,588$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.66 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 999.77$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.85 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 42c | 919.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 833.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.97 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 604.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 553.15$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 23c | 294.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…081ebacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 186$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 120.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 58c | 112.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 34c | 75.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 54.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 72c | 41.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 40.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 73c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 67c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 71c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.