TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Najmah Saudi Clubof Al Shabab Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,677 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Shabab Saudi Club40c1,837$730 inLost-$729.951,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Al Najmah Saudi Club60c1,688$1,013 inWon+$675.0619633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Al Shabab Saudi Club39c919.99$359 inLost-$358.817757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Al Shabab Saudi Club40c532.5$213 inLost-$21322544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club40c387.76$155 inLost-$155.11,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club61c312$190 inWon+$121.6818256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Al Shabab Saudi Club29c283.8$82 inLost-$82.310522.9%24 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Shabab Saudi Club12c283$34 inLost-$33.962,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Najmah Saudi Club70c276.09$194 inWon+$81.775,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Al Najmah Saudi Club61c248.97$152 inWon+$97.113154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Al Najmah Saudi Club61c163.93$100 inWon+$63.9312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club61c149$91 inWon+$58.111,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Al Najmah Saudi Club72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.8913463.4%85 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Shabab Saudi Club39c78.98$31 inLost-$30.592,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Najmah Saudi Club61c74.81$46 inWon+$29.182,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club30c74.71$22 inLost-$22.225356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Al Najmah Saudi Club61c49.18$30 inWon+$19.1811849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Al Najmah Saudi Club70c40$28 inWon+$126162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Al Najmah Saudi Club70c25$18 inWon+$7.520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Al Najmah Saudi Club73c22.4$16 inWon+$6.014085%34 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Al Najmah Saudi Club58c19.71$11 inWon+$8.2812244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Al Najmah Saudi Club71c19.71$14 inWon+$5.721540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Al Najmah Saudi Club64c18.42$12 inWon+$6.5656545.5%257 W · 308 L-24.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.