South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c554e4430f0acb51d5ed3d58a1073589b7eb2adf5b3200ac60518a4d450517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 1,699$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 699.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.98 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 20c | 564$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 395.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…a7ebbacked Under | 61c | 364.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 359.19$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 279.51$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 247.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 48c | 116.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 54c | 105.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 46c | 62.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 45.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 34.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 70c | 32.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 42c | 24.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…8d92backed Over | 49c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 48c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 52c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.