Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927ef043aa669fe38c52316c3cea292f49d7ac55384c6bc906202e03f0f38269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 2,186$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.07 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,011$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.97 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 1,616$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.12 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 43c | 1,547$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.46 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,431$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.35 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 43c | 907.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 730.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 599.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Under | 42c | 427.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Over | 57c | 414.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 350.02$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Over | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over | 43c | 325$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 33c | 299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 293.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under | 78c | 187.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 165.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 37c | 165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 63c | 150.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 149.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 108.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 38c | 106.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 16c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Over | 34c | 76.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 50c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 50c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 58c | 52.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 52c | 51.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 61c | 49.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 50c | 48.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…4fb2backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 38c | 33.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 64c | 31.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 29.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 27.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 23.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 54c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.