Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937298ef803ea0f51c7733ca7def3c3ee16fc25b6ea729f4560b99f30f0cbb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 4,736$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.39 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 68c | 4,136$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 53c | 3,997$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 3,634$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,547$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 1,636$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.36 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed No | 10c | 598.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 49c | 456.95$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 43c | 288.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 38c | 219.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 21c | 158$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 99.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 69.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 60c | 55.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 36c | 32.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.