South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e429973d414b0c763d4d586a64bff7823b7590da922efb216cf198b38924a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 57c | 15,764$8,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,991.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 60c | 4,898$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.82 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 40c | 4,821$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.86 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 43c | 1,731$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.39 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.66 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 835.07$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.16 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 727.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.44 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 46c | 656.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 40c | 499.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 418.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 27c | 297.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 292.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 40c | 250.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 38c | 212.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 203$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 46c | 199.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 198.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 198.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 175.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 61c | 156.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 137.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 103.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…3340backed Over | 36c | 98.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Over | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 75c | 62.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 75c | 62.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 60c | 54.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Over | 40c | 48.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 32c | 38.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 75c | 35.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 59c | 17.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.