South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff50b081f77e9c44c48e35409ef12bbad85c27cfaff962424713744d0abf301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 69c | 1,432$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,041$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.43 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 939.66$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 806.95$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 577.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 5c | 475$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 71c | 469.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 446.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 31c | 371.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 268.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 26c | 201.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 177.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 164.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 67c | 162.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 68c | 146.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 140.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 127.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 101.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 36c | 93.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 67c | 86.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 61c | 47.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 67c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 39c | 44.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…aa13backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 64c | 26.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 61c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.