La Liga · resolved market
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf550bc5c6751cedc8ea91e51ec9236d4ebf015da9c8a38ed3af78c1bcc980298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,055$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 64c | 1,801$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 36c | 1,778$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.26 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 62c | 1,461$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.86 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 1,372$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.52 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 62c | 1,153$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Over | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 64c | 858.87$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.18 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Over | 66c | 795.47$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 45c | 742.77$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 644.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.31 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 459.22$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 456$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 67c | 444.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 6c | 380.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 378.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 37c | 336$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 64c | 234.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 29c | 195.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 64c | 194.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Over | 40c | 159$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…d546backed Under | 47c | 109.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 34c | 97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Over | 62c | 96.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 62c | 81.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 71.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…7580backed Over | 65c | 66.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…9db0backed Over | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…492ebacked Over | 65c | 50.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 38c | 46.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…5822backed Over | 65c | 40.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 36c | 40.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 39.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…e804backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…d225backed Over | 65c | 37.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…1289backed Over | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Under | 37c | 28.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…5462backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 60c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…ec52backed Over | 65c | 17.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Getafe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.