La Liga · resolved market
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f756afe9bb520de8573ad0fa79e4a91ffb0b3d1ba9c180e195ffee3e78b379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 36c | 13,505$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.93 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 10,912$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.1 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 64c | 2,681$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.87 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 2,517$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Over | 38c | 1,630$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 35c | 1,600$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,383$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 268.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 35c | 85.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 14c | 84.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…0e65backed Over | 36c | 41.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 32c | 33.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Getafe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.