TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over66c14,844$9,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,795.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c2,883$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.133616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c2,210$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.9415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under34c1,750$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1552568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over68c1,361$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.022161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under50c1,243$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under78c1,033$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.194647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c926.69$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.612650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c736.27$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.964753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c717.6$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under46c628.94$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over5c602.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+198.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c596.08$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0824732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over33c531.71$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.997254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e65…0b57backed Over40c508.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over67c494.07$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c488.34$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.586435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over30c480.54$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.693452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under34c460.52$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.343063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under61c458.96$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.312842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over36c457.58$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.818853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under34c450$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over62c397.77$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.141030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under48c376.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c373.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.178129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under34c372.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.971776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under47c341.75$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over67c318.93$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under34c317.03$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.92766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over20c306.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.181838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed Over16c299.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under40c291.61$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.976352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c288.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.144450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under32c269.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.996841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c254.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Under38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.092166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under66c251.5$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under37c246.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over6c237.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over11c218.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5930954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over46c211.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Over11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Under60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under34c132.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.189550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over70c126.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3810839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under63c124.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over16c118.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.458353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c108.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.583641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under60c98.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over32c98.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.444443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over23c88.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over61c80.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c79.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.086823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under70c73.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.315846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf293…ba11backed Over67c73.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over67c73.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over58c68.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Under75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c65.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under33c60.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.412250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under60c60.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under39c58.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+100.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over68c57.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.172334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under34c56.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.543748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over39c56.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under34c54.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over67c44.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Under46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.721030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c41.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.374854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under40c36.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over68c34.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under79c34.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c33.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0334937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.