Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe75a00a7a381614492d81920170d20e0ec9b635426db4ad0920459c65a5e467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,917$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.72 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 2,092$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.38 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 40c | 2,050$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.7 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 1,232$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.31 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 24c | 1,177$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.57 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 1,068$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.06 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 75c | 906.77$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 869.12$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over | 43c | 783.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 50c | 699.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 52c | 603.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 52c | 556.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 545$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…d107backed Over | 44c | 508.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 39c | 482.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 476.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.91 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 475.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.75 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 6c | 473.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 390.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 30c | 322.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 51c | 306.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 55c | 295.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 56c | 273.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 24c | 268$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 259.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 38c | 252.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 39c | 236.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 56c | 230.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 23c | 197.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 177.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 173.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 31c | 166.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Over | 68c | 163.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 142.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 54c | 130.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 125.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…ba11backed Over | 79c | 112.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 60c | 97.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 94.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 52c | 90.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 50c | 89.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 63c | 88.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 69c | 86.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 57c | 85.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 47c | 82.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 16c | 74.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 38c | 63.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 48c | 60.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 38c | 52.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 48c | 50.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 55c | 49.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 49.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…e6dbbacked Over | 39c | 45.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 37.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 63c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 64c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 51c | 29.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Under | 75c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 59c | 24.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 17.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 70c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.