South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0a3d4f6fa871dbd2434560f1655de0f3a1706d0c30d0d07b8890c9dfb9d896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 41c | 1,237$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,019$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 822.58$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 627.41$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 609.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 376.78$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 38c | 298.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 216.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 174.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 171.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 107.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 104.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 103.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 69.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 52.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 38c | 52.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 63c | 41.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 36.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 57c | 28.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.