South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc878e05d0fda297e0c7e014044583adcf570579d81d579585daed56eb63be319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 3,872$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.87 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 22c | 3,083$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 64c | 2,750$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.91 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 2,490$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 850.7$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 487.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 470.4$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 412.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 65c | 396.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 64c | 368.52$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 55c | 311.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 59c | 307.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 194.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 146.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 141.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 124.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 120.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 116.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 34c | 99.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Over | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Over | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Over | 64c | 93.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 93.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 72c | 92.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Under | 22c | 90.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 58c | 82.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 72.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…c37ebacked Over | 28c | 67.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 72c | 67.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 68c | 66.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 62.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 20c | 57.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 56c | 49.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Under | 34c | 38.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Over | 66c | 30.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 69c | 28.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 45c | 26.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 64c | 24.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 59c | 23.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 46c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Over | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.